Chipotle Mexican Valuation
| CMG Stock | USD 37.54 0.43 1.13% |
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Chipotle Mexican Grill shows a prevailing Real Value of $43.03 per share. The current price of the firm is $37.54. Our model approximates the value of Chipotle Mexican Grill from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.47, profit margin of 0.13 %, and Current Valuation of 53.48 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Chipotle Mexican's valuation include:
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Chipotle Mexican's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Chipotle Mexican Grill is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Chipotle Mexican's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Chipotle stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Chipotle Mexican Grill. Since Chipotle Mexican is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Chipotle Stock. However, Chipotle Mexican's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 37.54 | Real 43.03 | Target 44.32 | Hype 36.9 | Naive 38.0 |
The real value of Chipotle Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Chipotle Mexican Grill Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Chipotle Mexican's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Chipotle Mexican's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Chipotle Mexican Grill helps investors to forecast how Chipotle stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Chipotle Mexican more accurately as focusing exclusively on Chipotle Mexican's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: When choosing an evaluation method for Chipotle Mexican Grill, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.
Chipotle Mexican Cash |
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Chipotle Revenue by Product
Chipotle Mexican Total Value Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill is currently expected to have company total value of 53.48 B with market capitalization of 50.21 B, debt of 9.85 B, and cash on hands of 350.55 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Chipotle Mexican fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
53.48 B | 50.21 B | 9.85 B | 350.55 M |
Chipotle Mexican Investor Information
About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.73. Chipotle Mexican Grill had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 50:1 split on the 26th of June 2024. Based on the analysis of Chipotle Mexican's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Chipotle Mexican Grill is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to report excellent financial results in March.| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 2.2 B | 2.1 B |
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Chipotle Mexican Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Chipotle Mexican has an asset utilization ratio of 132.59 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.33 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Chipotle Mexican Grill is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Chipotle Mexican Profitability Analysis
Considering Chipotle Mexican's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Chipotle Mexican Grill is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Chipotle Mexican's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Income | First Reported 2003-03-31 | Previous Quarter 382.1 M | Current Value 330.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 117.3 M |
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.26 | 0.2235 |
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For Chipotle Mexican profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Chipotle Mexican Grill to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Chipotle Mexican utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Chipotle Mexican's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Chipotle Mexican over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Chipotle Mexican Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Chipotle Mexican is estimated to be 0.2347 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.2 to a high of 0.261. Chipotle Mexican's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.12. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Chipotle Mexican Grill is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Chipotle Mexican Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Chipotle Mexican's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Chipotle Mexican is estimated to be 0.2347 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.2 to a high of 0.261. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Chipotle Mexican Grill is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
0.20 Lowest | Expected EPS | 0.26 Highest |
Chipotle Mexican Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Chipotle Mexican's value are higher than the current market price of the Chipotle Mexican stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Chipotle Mexican is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Chipotle Mexican's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of March 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 38 | 94.57% | 0.25 | 0.2347 | 1.12 |
Chipotle Mexican Ownership Allocation
Chipotle Mexican holds a total of 1.3 Billion outstanding shares. The majority of Chipotle Mexican Grill outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Chipotle Mexican Grill to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Chipotle Mexican. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Chipotle Mexican Grill as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on January 14, 2026, Representative Julia Letlow of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Chipotle Mexican Grill's common stock.Chipotle Mexican Profitability Analysis
The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.93 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.54 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.78 B.Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Chipotle Mexican's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Chipotle Mexican and how it compares across the competition.
About Chipotle Mexican Valuation
The stock valuation mechanism determines Chipotle Mexican's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Chipotle Mexican. We calculate exposure to Chipotle Mexican's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Chipotle Mexican's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 2.7 B | 2.8 B | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.13 | 0.14 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.22 | 0.26 |
Chipotle Mexican Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Chipotle Mexican does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.04 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 28.49 |
Chipotle Mexican Current Valuation Indicators
Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Chipotle Mexican Grill and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Chipotle we look at many different elements of the entity such as Chipotle's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Chipotle Mexican, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Chipotle Mexican's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Chipotle Mexican's worth.Complementary Tools for Chipotle Stock analysis
When running Chipotle Mexican's price analysis, check to measure Chipotle Mexican's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chipotle Mexican is operating at the current time. Most of Chipotle Mexican's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chipotle Mexican's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chipotle Mexican to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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